Market Shift Mid-Process - Navigating the Moving Target Problem

How mid-process market shifts create valuation challenges for business owners and evidence-based strategies to protect your transaction when conditions change

24 min read Exit Strategy, Planning, and Readiness

You launched your sale process with strong tailwinds—a robust economy, eager buyers, and favorable multiples. Six months later, interest rates have climbed, a key industry player stumbled, and suddenly the buyers who were competing for your attention are recalculating their spreadsheets. Welcome to the moving target problem, where mid-process market shifts transform confident transactions into complex negotiations. Before you assume accommodation is your only option, understand this: sometimes the best response to a market shift is not selling at all.

Executive Summary

Market conditions rarely hold still during the eight to fourteen months typically required to complete a middle-market business sale (though strategic buyer transactions often extend to eighteen months, and timelines vary significantly by deal size and industry complexity). When economic realities shift mid-process, sellers face a challenging dynamic: buyers reassess valuations based on new information while sellers remain anchored to expectations set at process launch. This disconnect creates transaction risk that can derail deals or force painful concessions.

Two business professionals reviewing documents with conflicting expressions during a tense discussion

Understanding how mid-process market shifts affect transactions empowers sellers to respond strategically rather than reactively. The key lies in recognizing that market changes don’t automatically destroy deals—they change the negotiating landscape. However, they also don’t automatically require you to accept whatever terms buyers offer. Industry data suggests that a meaningful percentage of announced middle-market transactions experience material renegotiation due to market shifts, with a smaller but significant portion failing to close entirely. Sellers who anticipate this possibility and build flexibility into their process structure maintain more control over outcomes.

This article examines how market volatility creates specific challenges for active transactions, outlines response options available to sellers when conditions shift—including the option of continued ownership—and provides frameworks for managing process dynamics when markets move against you. We’ll explore real patterns from transactions where market timing shifts created obstacles and how sellers successfully navigated—or appropriately walked away from—these challenges.

The goal isn’t to complete a transaction at any cost. Instead, we focus on building transaction resilience that protects your interests when external conditions change, while maintaining clarity about when walking away serves you better than pressing forward.

Introduction

Stock market chart with declining red line showing downward trend and volatility

Every business sale operates on an implicit assumption: the market conditions present at process launch will remain reasonably stable through closing. This assumption proves false more often than sellers expect. Interest rate movements, industry disruptions, geopolitical events, regulatory changes, and economic cycle shifts can all alter the transaction landscape mid-process.

The challenge intensifies because M&A processes have significant momentum. By the time market shifts become apparent, sellers have typically invested substantial time, disclosed confidential information to multiple parties, and potentially signaled to employees, customers, or competitors that a transition is underway. Walking away carries its own costs and risks—but so does accepting terms that don’t serve your fundamental interests.

Buyers, meanwhile, face their own pressures. Their financing terms may have changed. Their strategic priorities might have shifted. Their board or investment committee may be questioning assumptions that seemed reasonable months earlier. Even buyers who remain committed often feel compelled to revisit their valuation models when market conditions evolve.

This creates what we call the “mid-process market shift problem”—a situation where sellers and buyers operate from different baseline assumptions about value and risk. Sellers remember the market that existed at launch; buyers focus on the market that exists today. Bridging this gap requires understanding the dynamics at play and having strategies ready to deploy—including a clear view of when continued ownership represents your best option.

Market volatility has become a more prominent concern for transaction participants in recent years, particularly during periods of rapid interest rate adjustment. Sellers who assume stable conditions throughout their process are increasingly finding themselves caught off guard.

We’ve observed transactions where market shifts extended timelines by four to six months, reduced valuations by meaningful percentages, or collapsed deals entirely. We’ve also seen sellers navigate these challenges successfully, preserving value through strategic adaptation. In our experience, roughly half of sellers facing significant mid-process market shifts preserve meaningful value through strategic responses, approximately a third accept material reductions to complete transactions, and the remainder terminate their processes—sometimes wisely, when alternatives proved superior. The difference typically comes down to preparation, flexibility, understanding the options available when markets move, and clarity about personal objectives.

Individual considering different directions, representing strategic choice and decision-making

The Anatomy of Mid-Process Market Shifts

Market shifts affect transactions through several distinct mechanisms, each requiring different responses. Understanding these pathways helps sellers anticipate challenges and prepare appropriate countermeasures. Importantly, these dynamics affect different industries distinctly—technology and healthcare businesses often maintain relatively stronger multiples during market stress due to growth characteristics and recurring revenue models, while cyclical industries like manufacturing and distribution typically face more severe compression.

Valuation Multiple Compression

The most direct impact comes through multiple compression. When comparable transactions start closing at lower multiples, buyers adjust their models accordingly. The magnitude of compression varies significantly by industry, deal size, and the severity of the market shift.

For context, during the 2022-2023 interest rate adjustment period, transaction data from multiple sources including BizBuySell’s quarterly insight reports showed median transaction multiples declining meaningfully from peak levels, with some sectors experiencing 15-25% compression between Q1 2022 and Q4 2023. Technology and SaaS businesses generally experienced less severe compression than traditional manufacturing or retail, reflecting buyer preferences for recurring revenue and growth potential during uncertain periods.

Entrepreneur focused on laptop with papers, representing continued business ownership

This shift feels particularly unfair to sellers because nothing about their business has changed. The same revenue, the same growth rate, the same customer relationships that justified premium multiples months ago now generate different valuations. Buyers aren’t necessarily being opportunistic—they’re often responding to genuine market realities that affect their expected returns and exit assumptions. However, sellers should recognize that some buyers may also use market conditions as negotiating leverage beyond what financing realities require.

Multiple compression can accelerate mid-process as well. Early market signals might suggest modest adjustments, but as more transactions close at lower levels, the new benchmarks become firmly established. Sellers who delay responses hoping for market recovery sometimes find conditions deteriorating further.

Financing Cost Increases

Rising interest rates create meaningful pressure on transaction values, particularly for leveraged buyers. Private equity buyers, who typically use debt to enhance returns, find their models less attractive when debt costs more. Strategic buyers with strong balance sheets gain relative advantage, but even they may face higher hurdle rates from their boards.

To illustrate the mechanics, consider a simplified example: A buyer targeting a $10M EBITDA business using 60% leverage at a 6x multiple would borrow $36M. If all-in borrowing costs increase from 6% to 7%, annual debt service rises by approximately $360,000. To maintain the same equity returns over a five-year hold—assuming a target equity IRR of 20-25%—the buyer must either accept reduced returns or adjust the purchase price downward. In this example, preserving target returns might require reducing the purchase price by $2-4M, representing roughly 3-7% compression from the original $60M purchase price, depending on specific assumptions about hold period and exit multiples.

The exact impact depends heavily on specific assumptions including leverage ratio, hold period, target returns, and deal structure. Higher-leverage transactions experience greater sensitivity to rate changes, while all-cash strategic buyers may face minimal direct impact. Sellers should ask buyers to demonstrate specifically how market conditions affect their particular situation rather than accepting generic claims.

Sellers sometimes misunderstand financing dynamics as buyer negotiating tactics. In many cases, financing cost increases represent genuine constraints on buyer capacity. However, the distinction between real constraints and opportunistic negotiating isn’t always clear—which is why requiring buyer-specific documentation matters.

Strategic Priority Shifts

Broader market changes can alter buyer strategic priorities in ways that affect specific transactions. An economic slowdown might shift focus from growth acquisitions to cost reduction. A competitive threat might redirect capital toward defensive moves. A new market opportunity might consume bandwidth that was previously available for your transaction.

These shifts can be challenging to identify because they’re sometimes invisible to sellers. Buyers may remain engaged without explicitly disclosing that internal priorities have changed. The result can be a process that loses momentum without clear explanation—meetings get postponed, decisions drag out, and enthusiasm wanes.

Financial spreadsheet with calculator showing deal valuation and restructuring analysis

When you observe these patterns, direct inquiry is more productive than speculation. Ask buyers explicitly: “Has anything changed in your strategic priorities or timeline since we began this process?” This forces transparency and helps you distinguish between genuine priority shifts and normal process variations.

Risk Perception Changes

Market volatility tends to increase general risk aversion among buyers. Even when specific transaction economics remain attractive, buyers often become more cautious about execution risk, integration challenges, and post-acquisition performance during uncertain periods. This manifests as increased due diligence scrutiny, more conservative assumptions in projections, and higher required returns.

Risk perception shifts can catch sellers unprepared because they don’t show up as explicit valuation changes initially. Instead, buyers may find more issues in diligence, require more representations and warranties, seek larger escrows or holdbacks, or simply slow their decision-making processes. The transaction becomes harder without the headline price necessarily declining—at least at first.

The Economics of Continued Ownership

Before exploring strategies for navigating market shifts within an active process, sellers should rigorously evaluate the alternative: continuing to own and operate the business. This analysis often gets overlooked in the momentum of an ongoing transaction, but it represents a critical decision point.

Calculating Your True Alternatives

When market conditions shift and buyers reduce offers, calculate the economics of continued ownership versus accepting adjusted terms:

Projected business value in 2-3 years: If your business continues growing at its historical rate, what might it be worth when market conditions stabilize? Apply conservative assumptions—perhaps 70% of your historical growth rate to account for execution risk and uncertainty.

Distributions and owner compensation: What cash flow will you extract from the business during a continued ownership period? Include salary, distributions, and benefits.

Multi-person team engaged in strategic discussion around conference table with documents

Risk-adjusted present value: Discount future business value and cash flows to present value using an appropriate rate—typically 15-25% for small business ownership risk, depending on your specific situation.

Personal factors: Consider your energy level, partnership dynamics, competitive threats, and personal timeline. A business worth more in three years isn’t valuable if you lack the energy or interest to operate it effectively.

For example, if a market shift reduces your current offer from $8M to $6.5M, but your business generates $400K in annual owner cash flow and might reasonably be worth $9M in three years, the present value of continued ownership (using a 20% discount rate) could exceed the adjusted offer. This calculation varies enormously by situation—run your own numbers with realistic assumptions.

When Continued Ownership Wins

Holding the business longer often creates more value when:

  • The market shift is cyclical rather than structural, suggesting recovery within your timeline tolerance
  • Your business has meaningful growth runway that hasn’t yet translated to valuation
  • You have the personal energy and interest to continue operating effectively
  • Your competitive position remains strong despite market conditions
  • The adjusted transaction terms include significant contingent payments (earnouts, seller financing) that shift risk to you anyway

Professional appearing stressed while handling competing demands and difficult decision-making

When Selling Despite Compression Makes Sense

Accepting market-adjusted terms often makes sense when:

  • Your personal timeline is fixed due to health, partnership, or other factors
  • The business faces competitive or technological threats that may worsen
  • Holding costs (opportunity cost, risk, personal energy) exceed the valuation gap
  • Market conditions appear likely to deteriorate further
  • You’ve identified specific uses for liquidity that would generate superior returns

This analysis should precede—not follow—negotiations with buyers about adjusted terms.

Response Options When Markets Shift

When mid-process market shifts occur, sellers face a spectrum of response options. The right choice depends on individual circumstances, including your alternatives, timeline flexibility, and fundamental objectives. Understanding the full range of possibilities enables better decision-making.

Option One: Accept Adjusted Terms

The most straightforward response is accepting that market conditions have changed and negotiating from current realities. This approach preserves transaction momentum and maintains buyer relationships, but it requires abandoning expectations set at process launch.

Accepting adjusted terms makes sense when your alternatives are limited, when the adjusted terms still meet core objectives, or when market conditions appear likely to deteriorate further. It’s also appropriate when your timeline is fixed—perhaps due to health issues, partnership requirements, or other personal factors that make completing a transaction paramount.

The key to this approach is negotiating adjustments that reflect genuine market changes rather than opportunistic buyer behavior. Require buyers to demonstrate how market conditions specifically affect their valuation through financing term sheets, comparable transaction data, or revised strategic models with explicit assumptions.

Your business may trade at a premium or discount to general market multiples based on its specific characteristics—synergies, growth trajectory, margin stability, or strategic fit. Don’t automatically concede valuation compression just because market averages have shifted.

Option Two: Restructure the Deal

Market shifts sometimes affect certain deal elements more than others. Creative restructuring can bridge valuation gaps while addressing buyer concerns about changed conditions. However, each restructuring approach involves tradeoffs that affect your actual economic outcome, not just the headline price. Restructured deals typically take 40-60% longer to negotiate and document than straightforward transactions, adding complexity and cost.

Earnout provisions tie a portion of the purchase price to post-closing performance. They can help bridge valuation gaps when buyers face genuine uncertainty about future performance. However, earnouts involve significant complexity and risk:

  • Post-close, the buyer controls business operations and can influence whether earnout metrics are achieved
  • Based on our observations of contingent payment outcomes and available research on earnout disputes, sellers often receive meaningfully less than maximum contingent payments—in our experience, achieved earnouts typically pay 60-80% of maximum amounts, though this includes situations where earnouts fail entirely at zero. For earnouts that achieve at least minimum thresholds, payment rates tend to be higher
  • Earnout disputes arise in roughly half or more of transactions with contingent payments, requiring legal expense and management attention
  • The complexity adds substantial legal costs ($25,000-75,000 in additional documentation)

If pursuing earnouts, require specific protections: detailed measurement criteria that don’t depend on buyer judgment calls, independent annual audits, seller consent rights on operational decisions affecting metrics, and escrow funding rather than relying on buyer’s future willingness to pay. Earnouts work better when metrics are objective (revenue, for example) rather than subjective (EBITDA, which involves allocation decisions the buyer controls).

Seller financing can offset buyer financing cost increases by offering below-market rates that restore transaction economics. However, this shifts significant risk to you:

  • You become a creditor with potentially subordinated claims
  • If the business underperforms post-close, the buyer has incentive to default on your note
  • Your recourse may be limited and expensive to pursue
  • You trade liquidity for an illiquid receivable

Only use seller financing if: the note is secured by specific assets, it represents a modest portion of the deal (20-30% rather than 40-50%), you have personal guarantees from the buyer principal, and you’re comfortable with multi-year illiquidity. Understand that you’re not preserving your valuation—you’re taking credit risk in exchange for a higher headline number.

Equity rollovers align seller and buyer interests through ongoing ownership participation. In uncertain markets, buyers may offer better total terms when sellers retain meaningful equity stakes, demonstrating confidence in the business. However, rollovers mean you retain operational and market risk, face illiquidity, and remain emotionally tied to the business. The ultimate value of your retained equity depends entirely on future performance and exit conditions.

Deferred payments extend the timeline for full payment, giving buyers time to confirm post-acquisition performance. These structures require careful documentation and should be discounted for time value and payment risk when evaluating total economics.

When evaluating any restructured deal, calculate present value rather than comparing headline prices. For example, a $50M headline price with a $10M earnout (at 70% expected achievement probability) and a $5M seller note (discounted 15% for credit risk and time value) yields an expected present value closer to $47M than $65M. Compare this present value against your alternatives: holding the business longer, pursuing different buyers, or accepting a lower all-cash offer.

Option Three: Expand the Buyer Pool

If current buyers are citing market conditions to justify reduced offers, introducing new buyers can test whether the issue is market-wide or specific to existing parties. Additional competitive pressure can sometimes counter buyer attempts to use market shifts opportunistically.

This approach carries meaningful risks and costs:

  • Expanding mid-process signals that existing negotiations have stalled, potentially weakening your position with incumbent buyers
  • New buyer introduction takes ten to sixteen weeks minimum for outreach, NDAs, management presentations, and initial diligence, assuming normal market conditions and responsive buyers
  • New buyers entering now face the same (or worse) market conditions that current buyers are citing
  • Extended timelines create additional exposure to further market deterioration
  • Existing buyers walk away approximately 25% of the time when they perceive expanded competition signals—especially if they’re already concerned about market conditions

Buyer pool expansion succeeds in improving terms approximately 30-40% of the time when market conditions are the primary issue, but may backfire if buyer-specific factors are driving the pressure. Only expand buyer pool when you have multiple existing buyers or when your single buyer has explicitly threatened to walk. Position expansion as “exploring additional strategic fit” rather than signaling that current negotiations have stalled.

Despite these challenges, buyer pool expansion sometimes represents the best response. It’s particularly valuable when you have specific reasons to believe current buyers are exaggerating market impacts, when you’ve identified buyer segments with different value drivers not yet engaged, or when existing buyers have explicitly walked away.

Option Four: Pause the Process

When market conditions shift dramatically, pausing the process to reassess may be appropriate. This option acknowledges that conditions have changed materially from launch assumptions and allows time for markets to stabilize or for you to adjust expectations.

Pausing carries significant costs. Process momentum rarely recovers to previous levels—expect reduced buyer enthusiasm when you resume, typically requiring four to six months to regain meaningful traction even after conditions stabilize, and potentially longer if market uncertainty persists. Employees and customers who learned about the potential transaction face extended uncertainty. And market conditions might deteriorate further rather than improve.

Process extensions also carry costs beyond advisory fees:

  • Additional legal fees: $25,000-75,000
  • Extended due diligence costs: $15,000-50,000
  • Additional accounting and tax work: $10,000-25,000
  • Management distraction: 200+ hours of leadership time
  • Employee uncertainty costs: potential turnover and reduced productivity
  • Opportunity cost of delayed liquidity

Total realistic cost of a six-month extension often reaches $150,000-300,000 plus opportunity costs. Factor these costs into your continuation decisions.

However, pausing beats completing a transaction at terms that don’t meet your fundamental needs. It also beats appearing desperate to close, which encourages further buyer pressure.

If you pause, communicate explicitly with buyers: “Market conditions have changed materially from our launch assumptions. We’re pausing the process for [specific timeframe] to allow conditions to stabilize. We remain interested in transactions at appropriate terms for current market realities. We’ll reconvene on [date] to discuss revised timeline and expectations.” This is better than disappearing, which triggers buyer suspicion. Be prepared that some buyers may walk despite clear communication.

Option Five: Terminate and Wait

The most aggressive response is terminating the process entirely with plans to restart when conditions improve. This option makes sense when market shifts have made any current transaction unacceptable, when your timeline flexibility allows waiting, and when there’s reasonable expectation that conditions will eventually improve.

Before choosing this path, complete the continued ownership analysis described earlier. Calculate your after-tax proceeds under each scenario, assess your personal situation (energy level, partnership dynamics, competitive threats), and estimate potential business growth over the next two to three years. Sometimes waiting is the right answer. Sometimes the opportunity cost of continued ownership exceeds the valuation reduction you’d accept today.

The costs of termination are substantial: time lost, confidential information already disclosed, organizational disruption from the aborted process, and uncertainty about future conditions. Termination should be a last resort when other options fail to produce acceptable outcomes—but it’s a legitimate choice when the alternative is a transaction that doesn’t serve your interests.

Framework for Managing Market Shift Dynamics

Rather than reacting to market shifts after they occur, sophisticated sellers build frameworks for managing these dynamics throughout the process.

Pre-Launch Stress Testing

Before launching a sale process, stress test your assumptions against potential market shifts. What happens to your target valuation if multiples compress by 15-20%? How would your timeline adjust if buyer financing costs increase materially? What’s your walk-away point if conditions deteriorate?

Your walk-away point should reflect: the after-tax proceeds needed to meet your personal and financial goals, the opportunity cost of continued ownership (what you could do with your time and capital otherwise), and the risk-adjusted value of holding longer. Calculate the minimum net proceeds that would satisfy your core objectives—that’s your floor.

Having clear answers to these questions before launch enables faster, more confident responses when shifts occur. You won’t be making critical decisions while processing the emotional impact of changed circumstances.

Contingency Planning with Advisors

Work with your M&A advisors to develop explicit contingency plans for various market scenarios. What buyer expansion strategies would you deploy? What deal structures would you consider? At what point would you pause or terminate?

These conversations are easier in the abstract than amid active negotiations. Having predetermined responses allows faster execution when speed matters.

Process Structure for Flexibility

Design your process to preserve flexibility as conditions evolve. This might include:

  • Shorter exclusivity periods that limit your commitment to single buyers when conditions are uncertain
  • Staged diligence processes that maintain buyer competition longer into the process
  • Clear milestone requirements that prevent buyers from dragging out timelines indefinitely
  • Communication protocols that keep multiple parties engaged even when one buyer appears to lead

For businesses in the $10M-$50M revenue range, maintaining relationships with multiple buyers is typically feasible. Below $10M, finding even one serious buyer can be challenging, making backup relationships harder to cultivate—and making buyer pool expansion during market stress particularly risky. Above $50M, multiple simultaneous processes are often standard practice.

Real-Time Market Monitoring

Stay current on market conditions throughout your process. Track comparable transactions, monitor financing market conditions, and follow industry news that might affect buyer sentiment. Early awareness of shifts enables proactive responses rather than reactive scrambling.

While rising rates directly affect leveraged buyer economics, the relationship is complicated by broader economic factors that often accompany rate changes, including growth expectations and risk sentiment. Don’t assume a single variable explains all market movement.

Your advisors should provide regular market updates, but don’t rely solely on their perspective. Develop your own information sources and interpretation capabilities.

Buyer Motivation Assessment

Understand what’s driving each buyer’s interest beyond headline price. Buyers with strong strategic rationales—synergies, market position, capability acquisition—often maintain commitment through market volatility because their acquisition logic isn’t purely financial. Buyers whose interest is primarily opportunistic are more likely to retreat when conditions shift.

Strategic buyers in sectors like technology or healthcare often weather rate increases better than financial buyers because synergy value doesn’t depend on current multiples. Financial buyers using significant leverage are more sensitive to rate changes. This distinction helps predict which buyers will remain committed when markets move.

The tradeoff: strategic transactions typically take twelve to eighteen months, while financial buyer processes often complete in eight to twelve months. Choose based on your risk tolerance for timeline versus commitment resilience.

The Psychology of Mid-Process Shifts

Market shifts create psychological challenges that often compound strategic ones. Sellers who launched processes with specific valuation expectations anchor to those numbers emotionally, making it difficult to accept new realities.

This anchoring effect can lead to poor decisions—rejecting acceptable offers while hoping conditions improve, or engaging in extended negotiations that damage relationships and waste time. Recognizing the psychological dynamics at play helps you make more rational assessments.

Buyers experience their own pressures. They may feel uncomfortable delivering bad news after previously expressing enthusiasm. They may worry about their own internal positioning if they advocate for a transaction that colleagues now view skeptically. Understanding buyer psychology helps you interpret behavior and craft effective responses.

Navigate market shifts by separating emotional reactions from financial realities. A buyer’s reduced offer may reflect genuine financing constraints, not disappointment or bad faith. Your attachment to original valuations may reflect anchoring bias rather than insight into current value. Focus on the actual constraints each party faces and problem-solve around those facts.

The probability of deal survival during market shifts depends on several factors: magnitude of the shift (modest compression rarely collapses deals initiated in good faith; severe compression frequently does), buyer’s alternative options, and seller’s flexibility. Success in navigation depends not only on response quality but also on the hand you’re dealt—you cannot respond your way out of a severe market shock if your only buyer has walked away.

Actionable Takeaways

Before launching your process:

  • Stress test your valuation expectations against 15-20% multiple compression scenarios
  • Calculate your walk-away point based on minimum proceeds needed to meet core objectives
  • Develop contingency plans with your advisors for market shifts
  • Build process flexibility into your timeline and structure
  • Understand how your industry typically responds to market stress—technology and healthcare often show more resilience than cyclical sectors

During your process:

  • Monitor market conditions continuously through comparable transaction data and financing market indicators
  • Assess buyer motivations beyond price to predict commitment durability
  • Maintain relationships with backup buyers even when a lead buyer emerges (for deals large enough to support multiple serious buyers)
  • Communicate openly with advisors about changing circumstances

When market shifts occur:

  • First, calculate the economics of continued ownership versus accepting adjusted terms
  • Resist anchoring to original expectations when conditions have genuinely changed
  • Evaluate the full range of response options, including not selling at all
  • Require buyers to demonstrate specific impacts with documentation rather than accepting general market claims
  • Consider creative restructuring, but calculate present value rather than comparing headline prices
  • Understand the real risks of earnouts (buyer controls post-close operations, disputes common), seller financing (you become a creditor with limited recourse), and equity rollovers (you retain ongoing operational risk)
  • Factor in full costs of process extension: $150,000-300,000 plus opportunity costs for a six-month delay

Throughout the experience:

  • Recognize that market shifts don’t automatically mean deal failure, but success probability depends on shift magnitude and buyer commitment
  • Maintain process discipline even when circumstances create pressure
  • Preserve optionality until you’re confident in your chosen direction
  • Focus on outcomes that meet your fundamental objectives, even if different from original expectations
  • Remember that walking away is sometimes the right answer

Conclusion

Mid-process market shifts represent one of the most challenging dynamics in business sales. They test seller resilience, advisor capabilities, and transaction structures in ways that stable markets never reveal.

The moving target problem can’t be eliminated—markets will continue to shift, sometimes at the worst possible moments. What you can control is your preparation for these shifts, your response frameworks when shifts occur, and your psychological readiness to adapt without abandoning core objectives. Most importantly, you can control your clarity about alternatives—including the alternative of continued ownership when market-adjusted terms don’t serve your interests.

We’ve observed owners navigate significant market changes successfully, preserving meaningful value through strategic flexibility and disciplined execution. We’ve also seen transactions collapse when sellers refused to acknowledge new realities or when buyers used market shifts opportunistically. We’ve seen sellers wisely walk away from processes that no longer made sense, and we’ve seen others accept terms they later regretted. The outcome depends on multiple factors: magnitude of the shift, quality of your alternatives, buyer commitment, and the flexibility built into your deal structure.

Your sale process may encounter unexpected challenges. Market shifts may or may not be among them. But by understanding these dynamics, building appropriate response frameworks, and calculating the true economics of every option—including the option not to sell—you position yourself to achieve outcomes that serve your fundamental interests regardless of what external conditions deliver.